Analysis of egg shelling machine manufacturers. In the first half of 2018, the number of new laying hens increased, and the old chickens were eliminated. The chicken age structure of the laying hens has changed from old to new, but the overall inventory supply has not changed much, and egg prices have not changed. After a long off-season consumption season, supported by the cost of breeding, it fell to around 3 yuan and successfully built a bottom. In April, with the boost of the consumption season, egg prices went out of a wave of rising prices, but they did not last. The egg price rebounded weakly and fatigue appeared.
The amount of replenishment is mainly affected by the profit of breeding, and the profitability of farmers with considerable profits will increase. If they are not optimistic about the future, the enthusiasm of replenishment will decrease. Through statistical analysis of the egg cycle in recent years, after a considerable year of breeding profits, the stock volume will be greatly increased, forming a pattern of oversupply of fundamentals, and egg prices will start to fall.
According to statistics, the profit of egg farming has lasted for 15 months. Farmers have generally increased their confidence in filling the pens. The price and order date of chicken seedlings have reflected the optimism of farmers, laying the foundation for the increase in supply in the future.
Specific analysis of the recent factors that caused the egg price to hit a new high again. Firstly, the Shouguang Vegetable Incident raised the price of egg substitutes and vegetable prices. In addition, the recent large-scale rain caused the price of vegetables to remain high. At the National Day, the purchase volume of the people further increased. The main reason driving price increases. But further analysis of the influencing factors, all are emergencies, short-term characteristics are obvious. Looking to the future, after the double festival, the terminal consumption intensity will decline, and sudden events will weaken, and many bullish ones can turn into bearish ones. There is more room for egg prices to fall at a high level. At present, the time node of the double festival is approaching, and the last day of the egg rise is not much. .